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The 70-20-10 Rule: Why Most Companies Invest in AI Backwards

Published: 9/30/2025By Ian Kiku

Here's a question that reveals everything about why your AI project will succeed or fail:

For every $100 you spend on AI, how much goes to technology vs. people?

If you're like most organizations, you probably answered something like:

  • $70 on technology and tools
  • $20 on data and infrastructure
  • $10 on training and change management

That's exactly backwards.

What AI Leaders Do Differently

Research from BCG and McKinsey consistently shows that AI leaders invest using the 70-20-10 rule:

  • $70 to People & Change Management (training, adoption, workflow redesign, communication)
  • $20 to Technology & Data (software, infrastructure, integration)
  • $10 to AI Algorithms (custom model development, fine-tuning)

Most organizations invert this ratio and then wonder why adoption fails.

Why the 70-20-10 Rule Works

The Technology Trap

Common thinking: "If we buy the best AI tool, people will naturally adopt it."

Reality: Even the most advanced AI solution fails without organizational readiness.

Example: A law firm spent $200K on an AI contract review tool. Six months later, usage was at 15% because:

  • Lawyers weren't trained on when to use it (trust issue)
  • Workflow integration wasn't planned (process issue)
  • Partners weren't bought in (leadership issue)
  • No success metrics were defined (measurement issue)

Result: Expensive technology sitting unused.

The People Reality

Research insight: 78% of AI project failures are due to human factors, not technical limitations.

The most common failure points:

  • User resistance: "I don't trust AI recommendations"
  • Poor integration: "This makes my job harder, not easier"
  • Unclear value: "Why should I use this instead of what I know works?"
  • Skills gaps: "I don't know how to use this effectively"

Real-World Examples

Success Story: Mid-Size Bank

Total Investment: $150K for loan document automation

70-20-10 Breakdown:

  • $105K (70%) People: Training program, change management consultant, new workflow design, communication plan
  • $30K (20%) Technology: Document AI platform subscription, integration
  • $15K (10%) AI: Custom model fine-tuning for their document types

Result: 92% adoption rate, 60% time savings, ROI positive in 4 months

Failure Story: Manufacturing Company

Total Investment: $300K for predictive maintenance

Their Breakdown (Inverted):

  • $210K (70%) Technology: Advanced ML platform, sensors, infrastructure
  • $60K (20%) People: Basic vendor training
  • $30K (10%) AI: Standard algorithms

Result: 23% adoption rate, no measurable impact, project cancelled after 18 months

The Four Pillars of the 70% Investment

When you invest 70% in people and change management, here's where that money goes:

1. Comprehensive Training (20% of total budget)

  • Not just "how to use the tool"
  • When to use AI vs. human judgment
  • How to interpret AI outputs
  • What to do when AI makes mistakes

2. Change Management (25% of total budget)

  • Communication strategy and regular updates
  • Address fears and resistance directly
  • Create early adopters and champions
  • Manage workflow transitions

3. Process Redesign (15% of total budget)

  • Map new human-AI workflows
  • Design handoff points
  • Create exception handling procedures
  • Document new standard operating procedures

4. Success Measurement (10% of total budget)

  • Define metrics for adoption and value
  • Regular check-ins and feedback loops
  • Data collection and analysis
  • Iteration based on learnings

How to Apply This Today

If You're Planning an AI Project:

Before you budget, ask:

  1. How much are we spending on the technology?
  2. Are we spending 3.5x that amount on people and process?
  3. If not, should we reduce technology spending or increase people investment?

If You're Already Implementing:

Audit your current investment:

  1. Calculate actual spend across the three categories
  2. If you're under-investing in people, reallocate immediately
  3. It's never too late to add training and change management

Quick Assessment Questions:

  • Can every user explain when to use AI vs. their old method?
  • Do you have documented new workflows?
  • Are adoption rates above 75%?
  • Can you prove value with specific metrics?

If you answered "no" to any of these, you need more people investment.

The ROI Math

Scenario: $100K AI project

Traditional approach (10-20-70):

  • Low adoption (30%)
  • Actual value: $30K/year
  • Payback: 3+ years

70-20-10 approach:

  • High adoption (85%)
  • Actual value: $85K/year
  • Payback: 14 months

The 70-20-10 rule doesn't cost more - it delivers more value from the same investment.


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